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Why the Housing Sector Leads the Whole Economy: The Importance of Collateral Constraints and News Shocks

id: 2311 Date: 20160221 Times:
Magazines   Volume 48, Issue 2, pp 323-341
AuthorYu Ren, Yufei Yuan
ContentThis paper establishes a dynamic stochastic partial equilibrium model for explaining residential investment dynamics in the United States, focusing on the distinctive cyclical features of residential investment in that it leads the whole economy. This paper is different from the existing literature by adding three new features to the model: news shocks, collateral constraints and agent heterogeneity. The partial equilibrium analysis where interest rates are exogenously fixed shows that these assumptions are essential to generating the dynamic pattern in which residential investment leads consumption and GDP.
JEL-Codes
KeywordsNews shocks · Heterogeneous agents · Housing sector · Collateral constraints · Aggregate uncertainty
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