Dynamic Panel Data Analysis when the Dynamics are Heterogeneous

Speaker: Ryo Okui
Speaker Intro: Associate Professor,  Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University
Host:
Description: Abstract
This paper proposes the analysis of panel data whose dynamic structure is heterogeneous across individuals. Our aim is to estimate the cross-sectional distributions and/or some dis tributional features of the heterogeneous mean and autocovariances. We do not assume any specific model of the dynamics. Our proposed method is easy to implement: we first compute the sample mean and autocovariances for each individual and then estimate the parameter of interest based on the empirical distributions of the estimated mean and autocovariances. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are investigated using double asymptotics under which both the cross-sectional sample size (N) and the length of the time series (T) tend to infinity. The functional central limit theorem for the empirical process of the proposed distribution estimator is proved. By using the functional delta method, we also derive the asymptotic distribution of the estimator of various parameters of interest. We show that the distribution estimator exhibits a bias whose order is proportional to 1/ T. On the other hand, when the parameter of interest can be written as the expectation of a smooth function of the heterogeneous mean and/or autocovariances, the bias is of order 1/T and can be corrected by the jackknife method. The results of Monte Carlo simulations show that our asymptotic results are informative regarding the finite-sample properties of the estimators. They also demonstrate that the proposed jackknife bias correction is successful.

Keywords: Panel data; heterogeneity; functional central limit theorem; autocovariance; jack- knife; long panel.
JEL Classification: C13; C14; C23.
Time: 2014-11-20(Thur)16:30-18:00
Venue: N303 Economics Building
Organizer: WISE-SOE

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